🇮🇹
Italy
ITA · EUR · 58.9M pop. · Rank #127
…High Risk
Rating
CCC
Health Score™
39.3
Data source:
GDP
$3.13T
GDP Growth
+0.7%
Inflation
2.0%
Debt / GDP
136.1%
Fiscal Bal.
-2.7%
Reserves
—
Debt / GDP · history
37-year trend
▲ 0.0 (90d)
Debt Sustain.34
Fiscal Discipline36
Transparency67
Reserves35
ESG Readiness50
Governance69
Revenue Stab.54
Inst. Strength66
Risk profile · 6-axis
AI Executive Summary
- Debt-to-GDP 136.1% — elevated.
- Fiscal balance -2.7%.
- Inflation 2.0% · Governance 69/100.
Treasury & Market Data · Live
ITA sovereign rates & fiscal series
European Central Bank· 2026-09-16
GOV_BOND_10Y
European Central Bank
10Y Sovereign Bond Yield
3.99%
as of 2026-08-01 · 12 pts
ECB_MRR
European Central Bank
ECB Main Refinancing Rate
2.65%
as of 2026-09-16 · 2 pts
Live News & Official Statements
ITA treasury & central bank feeds
No live items yet for ITA.
No registered RSS feed for this country yet.
Debt Sustainability Analysis
Debt Sustainability Analysis
DSA · TreasuryMarketCap™ model
Gross debt / GDP
134.7%
Net debt / GDP
125.3%
Primary balance
0.4%
Implicit rate
2.90%
Nominal growth
1.9%
Debt-stabilising PB
1.31%
on track
Projected 1Y debt
135.6%
Projected 5Y debt
139.2%
- r−g ≈ 1.0 pp — broadly neutral debt dynamics.
- Gross debt at 135% of GDP is in the high-risk zone; rollover risk is elevated.
Redemption Profile · Maturity Wall
Upcoming debt maturities (USD bn)
No maturity data.
Document Intelligence
No document intelligence available yet for Italy.
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Regional peers · Europe
Open comparison →| Country | Health | Gov | Debt/GDP | Growth | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇮🇹Italy | 39.3 | 69 | 136.1% | +0.7% | High Risk |
| 🇮🇪Ireland | 85.2 | 83.3 | 34.2% | +12.4% | Excellent |
| 🇩🇰Denmark | 81.9 | 88.8 | 35.5% | +2.9% | Strong |
| 🇳🇴Norway | 75.3 | 87.6 | 49.1% | +1.1% | Strong |
| 🇨🇭Switzerland | 73.3 | 86.7 | 41.4% | +1.3% | Strong |
| 🇱🇺Luxembourg | 72.7 | 87.5 | 32.2% | +0.6% | Strong |