🇨🇳
China
CHN · CNY · 1408.3M pop. · Rank #50
…Stable
Rating
BBB
Health Score™
60
Data source:
GDP
$27.50T
GDP Growth
+3.3%
Inflation
2.0%
Debt / GDP
126.8%
Fiscal Bal.
-8.0%
Reserves
—
Debt / GDP · history
29-year trend
▼ 0.1 (90d)
Debt Sustain.55
Fiscal Discipline57
Transparency49.7
Reserves35
ESG Readiness50
Governance51.7
Revenue Stab.56
Inst. Strength49
Risk profile · 6-axis
AI Executive Summary
- Debt-to-GDP 126.8% — elevated.
- Fiscal balance -8.0%.
- Inflation 2.0% · Governance 51.7/100.
Treasury & Market Data · Live
CHN sovereign rates & fiscal series
bis· 2026-08-01
CBPOL
bis
Central Bank Policy Rate
3.00%
as of 2026-08-01 · 12 pts
Live News & Official Statements
CHN treasury & central bank feeds
- PBOCJun 4, 2026, 8:02 PMPBOC injects liquidity to stabilize funding conditions
Reverse repo operations expand ahead of quarter-end demand.
Debt Sustainability Analysis
Debt Sustainability Analysis
DSA · TreasuryMarketCap™ model
Gross debt / GDP
90.4%
Net debt / GDP
—
Primary balance
-6.4%
Implicit rate
1.13%
Nominal growth
5.2%
Debt-stabilising PB
-3.50%
on track
Projected 1Y debt
93.3%
Projected 5Y debt
103.8%
- r−g = -4.1 pp — favourable debt dynamics; nominal growth outpaces borrowing costs.
- Fiscal position runs 2.9 pp ahead of the debt-stabilising level — creating headroom.
- Gross debt at 90% of GDP is in the high-risk zone; rollover risk is elevated.
Redemption Profile · Maturity Wall
Upcoming debt maturities (USD bn)
No maturity data.
Document Intelligence
No document intelligence available yet for China.
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Regional peers · Asia
Open comparison →| Country | Health | Gov | Debt/GDP | Growth | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇨🇳China | 60 | 51.7 | 126.8% | +3.3% | Stable |
| 🇲🇴Macau | 89.9 | 69.7 | 0.0% | +7.8% | Excellent |
| 🇭🇰Hong Kong | 84.3 | 74.3 | 0.1% | +2.6% | Strong |
| 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates | 79.6 | 67.7 | 21.2% | +4.0% | Strong |
| 🇹🇼Taiwan | 75.4 | 78.7 | 34.5% | +3.7% | Strong |
| 🇰🇼Kuwait | 74.6 | 57.9 | 19.6% | -1.5% | Strong |