Index/Asia/China

🇨🇳

China

CHN · CNY · 1408.3M pop. · Rank #188

…High Risk

Rating

CCC

Health Score™

37.1

Data source:

GDP

$27.50T

GDP Growth

+3.3%

Inflation

2.0%

Debt / GDP

126.8%

Fiscal Bal.

-8.0%

Reserves

—

Debt / GDP · history

29-year trend

▼ 0.6 (90d)

Debt Sustain.32

Fiscal Discipline34

Transparency49.72167546666667

Reserves35

ESG Readiness55.07282791010864

Governance51.72167546666667

Revenue Stab.44

Inst. Strength49

Risk profile · 6-axis

AI Executive Summary

Debt-to-GDP 126.8% — elevated.
Fiscal balance -8.0%.
Inflation 2.0% · Governance 51.72167546666667/100.

Treasury & Market Data · Live

CHN sovereign rates & fiscal series

bis· 2026-06-01

CBPOL

bis

Central Bank Policy Rate

3.00%

as of 2026-06-01 · 11 pts

Live News & Official Statements

CHN treasury & central bank feeds

All news →

PBOCJun 4, 2026, 8:02 PM
PBOC injects liquidity to stabilize funding conditions
Reverse repo operations expand ahead of quarter-end demand.

Debt Sustainability Analysis

DSA · TreasuryMarketCap™ model

critical

Gross debt / GDP

126.8%

Net debt / GDP

—

Primary balance

-8.0%

Implicit rate

0.00%

Nominal growth

3.3%

Debt-stabilising PB

-4.05%

on track

Projected 1Y debt

130.7%

Projected 5Y debt

-1091.0%

r−g = -3.3 pp — favourable debt dynamics; nominal growth outpaces borrowing costs.
Fiscal position runs 4.0 pp ahead of the debt-stabilising level — creating headroom.
Gross debt at 127% of GDP is in the high-risk zone; rollover risk is elevated.

Redemption Profile · Maturity Wall

Upcoming debt maturities (USD bn)

No maturity data.

Document Intelligence

No document intelligence available yet for China.

AI Treasury Analyst

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Regional peers · Asia

Open comparison →

Country	Health	Gov	Debt/GDP	Growth	Risk
🇨🇳China	37.1	51.72167546666667	126.8%	+3.3%	High Risk
🇲🇴Macau	79	70.41332953333334	0.0%	+3.0%	Strong
🇦🇪United Arab Emirates	72.3	67.7977494	26.0%	+4.0%	Strong
🇰🇼Kuwait	70.1	57.891085866666664	37.8%	+2.4%	Strong
🇴🇲Oman	69.2	61.47049486666667	29.1%	+2.7%	Stable
🇶🇦Qatar	68.4	66.00525946666667	35.5%	+5.0%	Stable