During the summer, both growth and inflation have been higher than was forecast in June, and there is still a risk of underlying inflation becoming too high in the wake of the supply shocks in the Middle East. However, the picture is not clear-cut; for instance, companies’ pricing plans have been subdued, disruptions in global supply chains have declined and the labour market has been somewhat weaker than expected. Overall, the outlook for the economy remains largely unchanged. The Riksbank has
The European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB), the EU’s macroprudential oversight authority, is issuing a formal warning regarding vulnerabilities in the financial system linked to frontier AI models. The ESRB's warning calls for relevant authorities to reflect these risks in supervisory and oversight work.
From today, 1 July 2026, there will be more options for paying by card in-store when buying essential goods. This will strengthen the resilience of the payment system and is based on an agreement between the Riksbank and market participants.
Minutes of the monetary policy meeting on 16 June 2026
Inflation in Sweden is low and economic activity is somewhat weaker than normal. At the same time, the supply disruptions linked to the war in the Middle East have led to inflationary pressures rising and the risks of inflation becoming too high have increased. The Executive Board assesses that it is well-balanced to leave the policy rate unchanged at 1.75 per cent now, but the probability that the rate will be raised later this year has increased in relation to the assessment in March.
According to the major Swedish companies, the economic situation is still weak. Before the war in the Middle East broke out, they felt that the economy was slowly improving. The war does not seem to have significantly affected this picture. But uncertainty has increased again, which the companies say risks delaying the already prolonged recovery.
The Executive Board of the Riksbank will hold its monetary policy meeting in Gothenburg on 23 September. The meeting will take place at the county administrative board of Västra Götaland's premises. The decision will be published on the following day, 24 September, at 9.30 am. On the same day, at 10.30 am, a press conference on the decision will be held at the West Sweden Chamber of Commerce on Parkgatan 49 in Gothenburg.
The war in the Middle East has caused turbulence in the financial markets, but the global financial system has functioned well. However, there is considerable uncertainty. The longer the war continues, the greater the risk that inflation and interest rates will rise at the same time as the economy weakens, which could have a negative impact on several financial markets and participants. Moreover, there are several global vulnerabilities that could reinforce one another and exacerbate such negati
Minutes of the monetary policy meeting on 6 May 2026
The risk that the war in the Middle East will lead to higher inflation has increased somewhat. However, inflation is currently below the target and the recent outcomes have been clearly lower than the Riksbank's forecast in March. In addition, economic activity is weak. This means that there is scope to wait until there is a clearer picture of the effects of the war and the supply shocks it entails. The Executive Board has decided to leave the policy rate unchanged at 1.75 per cent. The current
Minutes of the monetary policy meeting on 18 March 2026
The Executive Board of the Riksbank has decided to hold the policy rate unchanged at 1.75 per cent and the rate is expected to remain at this level for some time to come. However, the war in the Middle East makes the forecast very uncertain. The Riksbank monitors developments closely and will adjust monetary policy if the outlook for inflation and economic activity so requires.