Index/Americas/United States
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United States

USA · USD · 340.1M pop. · Rank #189
High Risk
Rating
CCC
Health Score™
36.8
Data source:
GDP
$39.03T
GDP Growth
+1.8%
Inflation
2.2%
Debt / GDP
142.1%
Fiscal Bal.
-7.4%
Reserves
Debt / GDP · history
39-year trend
1.4 (90d)
Debt Sustain.32
Fiscal Discipline34
Transparency70.33220743333334
Reserves35
ESG Readiness51.11514243854438
Governance72.33220743333334
Revenue Stab.55
Inst. Strength69
Risk profile · 6-axis
AI Executive Summary
  • Debt-to-GDP 142.1% elevated.
  • Fiscal balance -7.4%.
  • Inflation 2.2% · Governance 72.33220743333334/100.
Debt instruments & programs
1 active records
TypeInstrumentAmountCouponMaturityStatus
domesticUS 10Y Treasury$8200.0B4.25%2034-08-15active
Treasury & Market Data · Live
USA sovereign rates & fiscal series
FRED · St. Louis Fed· 2026-04-20US Treasury· 2026-04-20bis· 2026-04-01
DGS10
FRED · St. Louis Fed
10-Year Treasury Yield
4.26%
as of 2026-04-20 · 197 pts
DGS2
FRED · St. Louis Fed
2-Year Treasury Yield
3.71%
as of 2026-04-17 · 196 pts
FEDFUNDS
FRED · St. Louis Fed
Effective Federal Funds Rate
3.64%
as of 2026-04-01 · 9 pts
DEBT_TO_PENNY
US Treasury
Total Public Debt Outstanding
$38.99T
as of 2026-04-20 · 148 pts
AVG_INT_RATE
US Treasury
Average Interest Rate on Marketable Debt
3.37%
as of 2026-03-31 · 9 pts
T10Y2Y
FRED · St. Louis Fed
10Y-2Y Treasury Spread
0.54%
as of 2026-04-20 · 197 pts
MORTGAGE30US
FRED · St. Louis Fed
30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate
6.30%
as of 2026-04-16 · 39 pts
DGS30
FRED · St. Louis Fed
30-Year Treasury Yield
4.88%
as of 2026-04-17 · 196 pts
Live News & Official Statements
USA treasury & central bank feeds
All news →
Sources: Federal Reserve · US Treasury press releases

Debt Sustainability Analysis

Debt Sustainability Analysis
DSA · TreasuryMarketCap™ model
critical
Gross debt / GDP
142.1%
Net debt / GDP
Primary balance
-7.4%
Implicit rate
0.00%
Nominal growth
1.8%
Debt-stabilising PB
-2.51%
on track
Projected 1Y debt
147.0%
Projected 5Y debt
-501.5%
  • r−g = -1.8 pp — favourable debt dynamics; nominal growth outpaces borrowing costs.
  • Fiscal position runs 4.9 pp ahead of the debt-stabilising level — creating headroom.
  • Gross debt at 142% of GDP is in the high-risk zone; rollover risk is elevated.
Redemption Profile · Maturity Wall
Upcoming debt maturities (USD bn)
2034
$8200.0bn

Document Intelligence

No document intelligence available yet for United States.
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Regional peers · Americas
Open comparison →
CountryHealthGovDebt/GDPGrowthRisk
🇺🇸United States36.872.33220743333334142.1%+1.8%High Risk
🇵🇷Puerto Rico65.261.77554101666666518.6%+0.8%Stable
🇦🇼Aruba63.973.3457880166666648.0%+1.3%Stable
🇸🇷Suriname63.551.3939535333333335.4%+2.9%Stable
🇳🇮Nicaragua61.834.928325330.6%+3.5%Stable
🇨🇱Chile61.169.7637642549.2%+2.3%Stable